Deborah J. Lucas

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Deborah J. Lucas

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Deborah Lucas is the Sloan Distinguished Professor of Finance at the MIT Sloan School of Management and Director of the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy.

Lucas’s recent research lies at the intersection of finance and policy, with a focus on applying the insights of financial economics to measure the costs and risks of a broad range of government financial activities. Some current projects include developing and applying new methods to measure the value of government subsidies to development banks and other state-owned enterprises (SOEs); improving the measurement of the fiscal and macroeconomic effects of credit support and guarantee policies; creating an international inventory of credit subsidies to the energy sector; compiling a world atlas of government financial institutions; evaluating the sustainability of state and local pension systems in a stochastic framework; and analyzing the costs and welfare consequences of government financial products such as reverse mortgages and mortgage credit risk transfer securities.

Current affiliations include visiting scholar at the International Montetary Fund, Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, member of the Academic Research Council of the Housing Policy Center at the Urban Institute, member of the Shadow Open Market Committee, and trustee for the NBER pension plans. She is on the editorial board of the Annual Review of Financial Economics, and serves as an independent director of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, P/E Investments, and NatureServe. Elected positions include member of the National Academy of Public Administration, member of the National Academy of Social Insurance, Senior Fellow of the Asian Bureau of Financial and Economic Research, and Fellow of the Econometric Society.

Previous appointments include chief economist, and subsequently assistant and associate director at the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, member on two Social Security Technical Advisory Panels, senior staff economist for U.S. Council of Economic Advisers, Professor at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, and coeditor of the JMCB. An expert on U.S. federal credit programs, she has testified before the U.S. Congress on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, student loans, and strategically important financial institutions.

Lucas received her BA, MA, and a PhD in economics from the University of Chicago.

Publications

"Introduction to the ARFE Theme on the Social Discount Rate."

Lucas, Deborah J. Annual Review of Financial Economics Vol. 15, (2023): 115-125.

"Reflections on What Financial Economics Can and Cannot Teach Us About the Social Discount Rate."

Lucas, Deborah J. Annual Review of Financial Economics Vol. 15, (2023): 185-195.

"Want to Prevent Another SVB? Have Banks Disclose Their Duration Gap."

Golding, Edward L., and Deborah J. Lucas. American Banker, October 16, 2023.

"Comments on Draft Revisions to OMB Circulars A-4 and A-94."

Joskow, Paul, Christopher Knittel, Deborah J. Lucas, Gilbert Metcalf, John Parsons, Robert Pindyck, and Richard Schmalensee, Working Paper. July 2023.

"COVID Credit Policies Around the World: Size, Scope, Costs and Consequences."

Gee Hee Hong and Deborah J. Lucas. In Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring Conference, Washington, D.C.: March 2023.

"Credit Risk Transfer and the Pricing of Mortgage Default Risk."

Golding, Edward, and Deborah J. Lucas, MIT Sloan Working Paper 6380-20. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, October 2022.

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MIT’s Golub Center presents the Miriam Pozen Prize to Mario Draghi, former president of the European Central Bank

The biennial prize recognizes an individual who had made outstanding contributions to the advancement of financial policy research or practice, which is the core mission of the MIT GCFP.

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Ideas Made to Matter

After SVB, what’s next for regional banks? 3 takeaways from MIT Sloan

Four MIT Sloan economists on lessons learned and next steps after the demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic.

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